Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lear | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Batter Up | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lebombo | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | D Day Reunion | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sara’s Shaman | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sir Exton | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mazing Mark | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bigwrigdude | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Holus Bolus | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Devils Fork | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Maximum Effort | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Baby Vino | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Banksy’s | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Pulse | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Dream | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Paul’s Recovery | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ace Jack Deuce | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Black Star | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | House Trick | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Ratings Handicap) – Ratings Handicap
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Woodcourt | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Winnemac Avenue | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Number One Dude | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gun Party | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Barb | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Classify | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Presidential | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Eglise | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Run Classic | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | R Heisman | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nasty Habit | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lundberg | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ghost of Midnight | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Max Got Excited | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Invulnerable | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Eminent Cat | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whitley | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Amore | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cattle Baron | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flat Out Blessed | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Our Vekoma Ride | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Arco Thunder | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Igniting Embers | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Arkansas Lovin Man | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Werthethreeamigos | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zooming Past | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Expect the Best | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dr. Storm | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maximum Promise | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Papa Yo | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pike Place | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Race Ready | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eleven Bravo | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Triple Up | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mister Muldoon | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Trouble Ahead | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Big Commerce | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Secured Lender | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Liam | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mumayaz | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dutch Mills | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cape Trafalgar | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Burlsworth | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Texas Holdem | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kunshan Bridge | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Classic Cut | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | She’s an Earner | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Highlight Show | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Really Fancy River | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Elevate | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Street Twirl | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Louisa | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Edgewater | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | McSniper | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Make It Happen | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Start Her Up | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Go Thunder Go | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sugar Tea | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Bachelor S.) – Bachelor S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Stradale | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Two Seven O | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Oscar’s Hope | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | One More Freud | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Mary’s Comet | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dirty Rich | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Doublecents | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Good Civilian | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Violence in Red | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Carbone | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dancin for Gold | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Linzer | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Touchdown Arkansas | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red State | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Classic Time | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Navy Seal | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Raymond | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ripped | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Lake Hamilton S.) – Lake Hamilton S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Zero Sugar | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sharp Swinger | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tejano Twist | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Booth | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Surveillance | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gold Sweep | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hola Joey | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dapper Moon | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mikel W | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cuda Cutie | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vekoma’s Diva | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Arr Piratetreasure | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cur Non | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Street Painter | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rockin the Lane | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lady Belle | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Brunia | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roseanne | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sisters in Town | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Astrid | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Aloha Baby | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Stephanie Starfish | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Plinko Chip | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.