Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ad Majora | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Coach Rudy | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lorden’s Pride | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | El Huirro | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Butter Man | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thomas Benjamin | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ur Honey | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Capo | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Top of D Agenda | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Stormbreaker | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Extrasexymcsteemee | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | King Barou | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brentwood | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Introubleagain | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Splitting Stones | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grande Felino | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Parlay for Destiny | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Marchin Into April | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just Cheesy | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pure Realization | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spherification | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sunny Magic | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Breezy Dance | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Once an Eagle | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Obstinate | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mollewantacracker | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Girlfromouterspace | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Prado | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Rerally | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Admiral’s Wave | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Freedom Stance | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Union Lights | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Book Runner | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Real Conviction | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jayjaydee | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Liberty Runner | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Cupid | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Good Reunion | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Cynthia Gail | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Patient Fi | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Laugh Like Lucy | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | It’s a Shore Thing | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Channel Loop | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Breezethrutime | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Marie | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Royal Party | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Queen Catalina | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shines Madelin | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Concrete Faze | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shetalkstomuch | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | More Ransom | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Boss Like Beth | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Racey Ruby | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rowsie Express | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Faytastic | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lasso | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mac Daddy Too | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Guaponess | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Malibu Warrior | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Elusive Target | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roan Burgundy | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Warrior Wayne | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | True Connection | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Inmortal J | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Praetorian Guard | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Union Purrfection | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Earl of Dassel | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Real Talented | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fluff the Pillow | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Lion | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | River’s Gamble | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Batter Up Bud | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.