Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tequilaandtherapy | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crossanna | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sakura Flavor (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Giggle Giggle | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tom’s Star | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Lithesome | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | How About Pavel | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Scary Fast Ride | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No Cap | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | A. Z. Wildcat | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crazy Cami | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Little Hidden Port (ARG) | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Running Spartan | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maximon | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gandalf | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chapter One | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sun Chaser | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sterling Sea | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bucks Action | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ima Track Star | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rich Night | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 13 | 13 | My Box of Light | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Bull Tiz | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 9 | 9 | King of Success | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Texas Wildcat | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jonny’s Cap | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Keepsmesane | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Saluto | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King Kameha | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fumano’s Fire | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smokem Wicked | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smoke Rider | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cupid Cowboy | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Redial | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hondo Crouch | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silver I Am | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Soi Ngern | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Millbo Baggins | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | B Grayson | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hornsby | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Centrodelantero | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Namaron (GER) | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Watsonville | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Balladeer | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Twirling Point | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Charlie’s to Blame | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | American Hope | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tempus Volat | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Henry Adams (IRE) | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grogu | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Phosphorescence (FR) | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crazy Cavalier | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Leyas Candy | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mischiefs Causeway | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jeweled Shillelagh | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tiz’s Harbor | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mother’s Prayer | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sunset Storm | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Upstart Yankee | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Northern Quest | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chief Jackson | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smiling Jojo | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Doncic | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hacking It Up | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Its a Cinch | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mubtadaa | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Central Dispatch | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Enterdadragon | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Caribbean King | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Old Nine (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Special Club | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dakota Country | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cathal (IRE) | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shortman | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Commander (FR) | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.