Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tequilaandtherapy | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sakura Flavor (IRE) | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | How About Pavel | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Giggle Giggle | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crossanna | 2.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tom’s Star | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Lithesome | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | No Cap | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scary Fast Ride | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | A. Z. Wildcat | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crazy Cami | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Little Hidden Port (ARG) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sun Chaser | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chapter One | 5.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Running Spartan | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Maximon | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bucks Action | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sterling Sea | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gandalf | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rich Night | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | King of Success | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bull Tiz | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | My Box of Light | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Ima Track Star | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Texas Wildcat | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | King Kameha | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fumano’s Fire | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Saluto | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cupid Cowboy | 30.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jonny’s Cap | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smoke Rider | 30.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smokem Wicked | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Keepsmesane | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Silver I Am | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | B Grayson | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Millbo Baggins | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hondo Crouch | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Soi Ngern | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hornsby | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Redial | 2.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Centrodelantero | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Henry Adams (IRE) | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Charlie’s to Blame | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | American Hope | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Phosphorescence (FR) | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crazy Cavalier | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Watsonville | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tempus Volat | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Namaron (GER) | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grogu | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Balladeer | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Twirling Point | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jeweled Shillelagh | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Leyas Candy | 1.40 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mother’s Prayer | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Northern Quest | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sunset Storm | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Upstart Yankee | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chief Jackson | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mischiefs Causeway | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smiling Jojo | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Tiz’s Harbor | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Doncic | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hacking It Up | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mubtadaa | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Its a Cinch | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cathal (IRE) | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Old Nine (IRE) | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Special Club | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Commander (FR) | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dakota Country | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shortman | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Central Dispatch | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Caribbean King | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Enterdadragon | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.