Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Military Road | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hermoso Hombre | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hey Porter | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Indy Rags | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | First Trumpet | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Texas Red Hot | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Frizzante | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Schlomo | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gunner Bay | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Panagiotis | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Princip | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Epitaph | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nantz | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Grand Commander | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gualillo | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cat Fast | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bellamy | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lough Currane | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Reign It In | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Isola d’Oro | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Beck’s Dreamer | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Trapping Hands | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Fort Marcy S.) – Fort Marcy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Deterministic | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uncatalyzed (GB) | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ridari (FR) | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Montador | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Battle of Normandy | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dr. Kraft | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Yo Daddy | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Papagiorgio | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Deemer | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Powered by Coal | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | G Five | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mosconi | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Free Refills | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Savvylicious | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Ascendshin | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pilot Knob | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Probe | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Morlock | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sea Vista | 1.40 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Favorite Day | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Momentum Files | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | First Blessing | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seeker’s Hope | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Toga d’Oro | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bengalese | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chardonnay Derby | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Devine One | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vivienna | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Barbour County | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Covert Affair | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kef | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Daughters’ Gift | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | All of My Whatif’s | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Elusive Quality S.) – Elusive Quality S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Waralo | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Twenty Six Black | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Clock Tower | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spiced Up | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Son of a Birch | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dancing Buck | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Acoustic Ave | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Willintoriskitall | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Ignite the Light | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Shoot the Nickel | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Thorsness | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Into Inspiration | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whitby | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Natural Hunk | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Reside | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Daytona Moonshine | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Noguchi | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Never Say Uncle | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dylan’s Ruby | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr Flowers | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Complex Agenda | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kulapat | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Paddock Pastor | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sandborn | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Freaky | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | American Grant | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Leftembehind | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Magnanimous Max | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | The Obliterator | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Counter Move | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Out of the Fog | 6.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Munny Talks | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mykonos | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Until Last Call | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whiskey Runner | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hot Off the Beach | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Joker | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Naz | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pretrial Statement | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.