Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Devastating | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Like a Dream | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Minari | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shine On Moon | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Momma’s Lino | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Skittliedat | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Money Monkey | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Iamdependingonyou | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Call Me Micky J. | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Island Bandit | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pelican Pier | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moneta Agenda | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Remembertheword | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Speed Focused | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dats My Pharaoh | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Notmyfirstrodeo | 8.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Your Mission | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Home Invasion | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blo By’em | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rapidity | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Speedy Alex | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Freedom Maker | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Vanilla | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aggro | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | She’s Not a Lad | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Krissi N | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Purple | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sunset Express | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Be Better | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Self Taught | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Morning Thoughts | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Your Analysis | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Walk Away Joe | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Collection Day | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forrest City | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | City Panda | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Twice Gold | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mystic Night | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mission Artemis | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Risk Factor | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Summer Vibes | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Latin Rebel | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Docsgotallthecandy | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Imagine It All | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fridayswithmurray | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zapata (IRE) | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fightnomoreforever | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sticktothesystem | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Worcester | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | J D Factor | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Freedom Road | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Catalytic | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | National Law | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crossland | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Irish Cork | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Union Fleet | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Preparefortakeoff | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Biscuitwiththeboss | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mopo | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Yo Adrian | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Ensign | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Earn | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Diane Lee | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | On a Proud Note | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Looks First | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Meg | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Anita Beer | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Panchita | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Can Do It | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon N Lace | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lifting | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Christmas Spirit | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tactics | 3.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Edelweiss | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Like Tyson | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | First Officer | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Uncle Grey | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.