Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tartarian | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dawson James | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Joewilly | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gimme a Chance | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midshakin | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fair Hope | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Arkansas Dave | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prince Ben | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Onyx Outlaw | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ledbetter | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Lady of Silence | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ante Up Tony | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Jewlz | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Revelant | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Timeless Love | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Very Cosmopolitan | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | What’s Her Number | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Divine Celina | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Myspittinimage | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 12 | Bodi Odi | 30.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 11 | Coldasice | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2B | 13 | Chiquita Reina | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Army Nurse | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Swift Blade | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | J J Grey | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Autobahn | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vintage Cowboy | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seventies Music | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Race Ready | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kid Charlemagne | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | I’m Worthy | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Global Heat Wave | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Timberline | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gewurztraminer | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Baddest Good Boy | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Forged Steel | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dive Bomber | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Zambezi | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tonka Warrior | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tracking Error | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bourbon Society | 5.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Imperial Gun | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Princetown | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Archie the Giza | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Stevie Kicks | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Airs At Juilliard | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Secret Slew | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sky High Angel | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sunday Bonnet | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | A Vision of Hope | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bolivia | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Night Shadow | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Telling Tales | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sua Sponte | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sneak Attack | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Payne | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Steel Link | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Patton’s Tizzy | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Strato | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Come Out Fighting | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fifty Cent Dollars | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rocket Sanders | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lightning Struck | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Little Steven | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Black White N Gold | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Lamplighter Jack | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Lucky Shot | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Great Barrier | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sir Sterling | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Lake Ouachita S.) – Lake Ouachita S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Willy D’s | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Coal Battle | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mackman | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Seize the Night | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Subsanador (ARG) | 2.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | American Promise | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Digital Ops | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | First Division | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | No More Kings | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Doublecents | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Machado | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hawkeye State | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Time Story | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Jazz Man | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | P R the Holy Man | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trophy Husband | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jackie Paper | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Room Key | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Grind | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Watashi | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Titan King | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Rum Rock | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Pokerknightatvees | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Turn Up the Trees | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Perfect Magic | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pride’s Prince | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sinner’s Sin | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Risk It | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jackman | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shepherd | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prayforpeace | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon’s Fault | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Knicks Glory | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Al’s Romeo | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Strollsmischief | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gettinby | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Strike Ridge | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lord of Rhymes | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Giant Moon | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hicko | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gee No Hollander | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bossofmi | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cowboycents | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Clear Echo | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Four O Nine | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Max Dot Socks | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Tizmarkus | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Razorback Army | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Otto the Conqueror | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dual Monarchy | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Frack Baby | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Master Mule | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bron and Brow | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mitty’s Griddy | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Runaway Jack | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Militant | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nineteenfourtyfive | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Title Contender | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Run Jalen Run | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Lottery Win | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Arkansas Breeders’ Championship S.) – Arkansas Breeders’ Championship S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Zippy Mark | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cybertown | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rock Solo | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One Ten Stadium | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Honey’s to Blame | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Two Dollar Eddie | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Willow Creek Road | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hess | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Triple Up | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ready Shoes | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Miracle Mack | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bright Spark | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Unload | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 14 | 14 | J T’s Imagination | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Montauk Point | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Treble Clef | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Magic Grant | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Excel Calculator | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Brittany’s Dream | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Global Empire | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Icarus | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mowins | 12.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Mansoura | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Holding Pattern | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Papa Funny | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.