Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gimme a Chance | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fair Hope | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Joewilly | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tartarian | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dawson James | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Arkansas Dave | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midshakin | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Onyx Outlaw | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ledbetter | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prince Ben | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | Jewlz | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 5 | Lady of Silence | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Revelant | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1A | 9 | What’s Her Number | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 6 | Timeless Love | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Ante Up Tony | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 3 | Divine Celina | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 11 | Coldasice | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2B | 13 | Chiquita Reina | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 2 | Very Cosmopolitan | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 4 | Army Nurse | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 12 | Bodi Odi | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 9 | 8 | Myspittinimage | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | I’m Worthy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | J J Grey | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Swift Blade | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Autobahn | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Race Ready | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seventies Music | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vintage Cowboy | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kid Charlemagne | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Global Heat Wave | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Timberline | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Forged Steel | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gewurztraminer | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Zambezi | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bourbon Society | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Baddest Good Boy | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tonka Warrior | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dive Bomber | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tracking Error | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Archie the Giza | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Imperial Gun | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Princetown | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Stevie Kicks | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Airs At Juilliard | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sunday Bonnet | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Telling Tales | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sky High Angel | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Secret Slew | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | A Vision of Hope | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Night Shadow | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bolivia | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sneak Attack | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sua Sponte | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Payne | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Strato | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Steel Link | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Patton’s Tizzy | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Come Out Fighting | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fifty Cent Dollars | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Lamplighter Jack | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lightning Struck | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Little Steven | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Sir Sterling | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rocket Sanders | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lucky Shot | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Great Barrier | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Black White N Gold | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Lake Ouachita S.) – Lake Ouachita S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Subsanador (ARG) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Willy D’s | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | First Division | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Coal Battle | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mackman | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seize the Night | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Digital Ops | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | American Promise | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Doublecents | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hawkeye State | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Machado | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | No More Kings | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Time Story | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Grind | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Jazz Man | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trophy Husband | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Watashi | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Titan King | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Room Key | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | P R the Holy Man | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jackie Paper | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rum Rock | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Pokerknightatvees | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Perfect Magic | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pride’s Prince | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prayforpeace | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Turn Up the Trees | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Risk It | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jackman | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sinner’s Sin | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon’s Fault | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Al’s Romeo | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shepherd | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Knicks Glory | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gettinby | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Tizmarkus | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gee No Hollander | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Strike Ridge | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lord of Rhymes | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hicko | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bossofmi | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Strollsmischief | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Clear Echo | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Giant Moon | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Four O Nine | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Cowboycents | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Razorback Army | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Max Dot Socks | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Master Mule | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lottery Win | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mitty’s Griddy | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Otto the Conqueror | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dual Monarchy | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Run Jalen Run | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Runaway Jack | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frack Baby | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Bron and Brow | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Militant | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Title Contender | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nineteenfourtyfive | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Arkansas Breeders’ Championship S.) – Arkansas Breeders’ Championship S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Zippy Mark | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Willow Creek Road | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cybertown | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rock Solo | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Honey’s to Blame | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hess | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One Ten Stadium | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Two Dollar Eddie | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Triple Up | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ready Shoes | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Miracle Mack | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bright Spark | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Unload | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Excel Calculator | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mowins | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Treble Clef | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Montauk Point | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Magic Grant | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Global Empire | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Icarus | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 14 | 14 | J T’s Imagination | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Brittany’s Dream | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Holding Pattern | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Papa Funny | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Mansoura | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.