Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Historic | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bad Joke | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uniter | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Hurricane | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gold Dollar | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cruisinforabrusin | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lady Riley | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mathurine | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Katies Factor | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nalla D | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Belle Blaze | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shelley’s Money | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My Angel Marie | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ides of Demarch | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Storming Sally | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dancing Dolly | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rhythm and Bruise | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Holly Springs | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Now I’m Your Daisy | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hello Frankie | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ole Mikey Bagels | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Iknowaguy | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Echobayou | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Boundings Mischief | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prince and Penny | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Day Boss | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ultra Mike | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Annual Budget | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Skalkaho | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Redneckerthanyou | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kissed a Cadet | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Succession | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cinco de Mo | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Outmatch | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Biz | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | War Boy | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Galvanizer | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vino Vida | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Modern Band | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cause I’m Crazy | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kind Soul | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | No Offences | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.