Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Historic | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bad Joke | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Hurricane | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uniter | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gold Dollar | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cruisinforabrusin | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lady Riley | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mathurine | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nalla D | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Belle Blaze | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shelley’s Money | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Katies Factor | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Storming Sally | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dancing Dolly | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Angel Marie | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ides of Demarch | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rhythm and Bruise | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Now I’m Your Daisy | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Holly Springs | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Iknowaguy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Echobayou | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hello Frankie | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ole Mikey Bagels | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prince and Penny | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Boundings Mischief | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Day Boss | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ultra Mike | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kissed a Cadet | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cinco de Mo | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Skalkaho | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Succession | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Redneckerthanyou | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Annual Budget | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Outmatch | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Galvanizer | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vino Vida | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Biz | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | War Boy | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | No Offences | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cause I’m Crazy | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kind Soul | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Modern Band | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.