Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jos Blaze On Fire | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brother Tommy | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fancy Mountain Man | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Jay T | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Slamdunnk | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rhaegals Rose | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Exploited Jess | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Infynite | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | A Regal Banner | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Soar Eagle Soar | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ss Me So Fancy | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One Valiant Alibi | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jess Isla | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tess Me Jessie | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Marfa Regime | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jess a Sassy Whirl | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Kitty Dodge | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Card Playing Gal | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jessa Leaving Lady | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wrs Cyber Sam | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mr B a Runner | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | G Viper | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Furr a Reason | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shes Just Innocent | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ts Eight Dollar Beer | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lets Go to the Lake | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Apollitcal Fury | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden) – Maiden
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Dreamscape | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fancee Fancy | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sour Cream Pie | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quit Kissin My Hocks | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Doublebarrel Bourbon | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hang Tight Honey Nh | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Get On Down the Trac | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Yesis Hott Rebel | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cachen On D | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gold N Kool | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hotskevin | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Amarillo Kisser | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tempting Seis | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Awd Shez My Hero | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Recio | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Finz Up | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Armor of God Yg | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Baby Rays | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Undecided | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden) – Maiden
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Legendary Golddigger | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shootem High Cowboy | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rr Dulce Neenya | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | This Iz My Time | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Ds Wagon | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kiss My Jackpot | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mariahs Candy Girl | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bp Tres It Back | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Political Spin | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Uptowne Patriot | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pevs Giddy Up Go | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vr El Fenomeno | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Luie the First | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Freighttrain V U | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kvn Corre | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Unbridled Favor | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Bubb | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Euro Special Lady | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Readabout Lil Pyc | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lil Rider | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rr Sweet Memories | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Karmas a Chick | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ms Apollitical Tres | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Electrifying | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Favorite Baby | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whistle Stops Eagle | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fleeting Heart | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Desert Dawn | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Follies Favorite | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Pauls Valley S.) – Pauls Valley S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Handin Out Candy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | O Donovan Rossa | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mister Lights Out | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wynnchester | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cash Back Hero | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Into the Lite | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chickn Hock | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rock Ya Later | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Leo S.) – Leo S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cowboys Gun Z | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Holy Pete | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hard to Politic | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Bang Rocket | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shakers No Secret | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lethal Cowboy 123 | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lightnin Strikes | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Scoops Dynasty | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Church Spire | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Decision Made | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.