Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, May 3, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Miles Ahead 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Unlimitedpotential 2.50 2.4 4-1
3 3 Castle Chaos 4.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 Eliminate 3.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Three Technique 20.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Ranger Battalion 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Trust Issues 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Timaeus 3.50 1.3 2-1
1 1 Golden Symphony 2.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Shoot the Nickel 5.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Uncle Jim 8.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 On the Hill 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Secured Landing 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Sagamore Mischief 5.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Farm Team 5.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Register 3.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Golden Plate 6.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Centavo 8.00 5.6 10-1
3 3 Knox 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Kinetic 1.40 1 2-1
5 5 Celestial Glaze 4.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Curvino 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Georgia Magic 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Dreambuilder 12.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Apalta 8.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Signator 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 My Lil Army Girl 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Five Dozen Roses 4.50 1.9 3-1
6 6 Lupine 2.50 3.4 7-1
13 13 Hip Hop Dancer 12.00 3.8 7-1
12 12 Hanna’s Hideaway 15.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Find Your Path 5.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Red Spirits 10.00 8.2 16-1
11 11 Dreamy Girl 15.00 8.8 17-1
7 7 Stella Fortuna 20.00 9.5 18-1
10 10 Bustling Town 10.00 10.2 19-1
4 4 Gresham’s Law 20.00 10.5 20-1
3 3 Midnight Blue 50.00 11.3 21-1
8 8 Boiling Point 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 My Girl Aubree 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 I Rest My Case 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Light Man 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Vibrant Express 2.50 1.3 2-1
1 1 Gunmetal 1.40 2.4 4-1
4 4 Sacrosanct 3.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 What’s Up Bro 20.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Fire Pit 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Westchester S.) – Westchester S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bishops Bay 1.40 1 2-1
4 4 Quint’s Brew 4.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Antiquarian 2.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Pentathlon 8.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Rated by Merit 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Beaugay S.) – Beaugay S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Laurelin (IRE) 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Dynamic Pricing (IRE) 1.20 2 4-1
2 2 City Girl (FR) 3.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Mo Fox Givin 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Racing Colors 30.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Shore War 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Getting Serious 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Hidden Rose 8.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Protective Custody 4.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Salt Princess 8.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Patty Cakes 10.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Creative Stuff 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Hauntress 30.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Swiss Moon (FR) 2.50 8 15-1
7 7 Soul Dance (GB) 5.00 8.7 16-1
11 11 I’m Buzzy 1.60 SCRATCH
10 10 Romantic Dancer 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Vagrancy S.) – Vagrancy S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 With the Angels 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Mystic Lake 3.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 My Magic Wand 15.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Grammy Girl 4.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Praying 5.00 5 10-1
1 1 Wondrous 8.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Kappa Kappa 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (License Fee S.) – License Fee S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Love Cervere 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Jody’s Pride 2.50 2.9 6-1
9 9 Mega Mil 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Civetta 6.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Do Gooder 10.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Cynane 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 So Sophia (GB) 30.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Buttercream Babe 4.50 5.7 11-1
10 10 All Class 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Lost and Found 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Autonome 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Maxisure 30.00 1.2 2-1
11 11 Lotus Petal 5.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Bossy Dish 12.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Luckforyou 20.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Y’allreadyforthis 10.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Smiling Rosie 15.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Saucy Six 30.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Doppio Espresso 15.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 Widdershins 20.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Brokealltherules 4.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Big Magic (IRE) 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.