Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hope Town Girl | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fantasy World | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flowerbomb | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vanessa’s Wish | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ilithyia | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Do I Look Worried | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Love of J | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tie It With a Bow | 2.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Pike | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Melody Man | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Playful Pal | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Win Runner | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baby Bandito | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Just Moises | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | High Lateen | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Golden Valley | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Geaux Amy | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Evanora | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Five Eyes Onmichel | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Just Take Notes | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Foxy Lady | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sister Slew | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Decisive Maiara | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Basilica Light | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Riyah Al Nil | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shes Blue N Orange | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bella Patrona | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mazorca | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Complexed | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Message of Hope (IRE) | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lomax | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Excuses | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mega Don | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Swamp Fox | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Laird of Magnolia | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hillbilly Bob | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | A Moment a Love | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | She Inspires | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chestnut | 1.60 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gotta Be Madison | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Americanexpression | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rishona | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Twirl | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Big Timer | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | War to Remember | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Final Payment | 1.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I’m Tuff Enough | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | American Tact | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crazy Red | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bon Vivant | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tap This Way | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Treasured Times | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sliceaway | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whirlawar | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Justified Gift | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fiftyshadesofpink | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Handicap) – Handicap
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Governor Sam | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Souper Quest | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coppola | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mattingly | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Okiro | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Extendo | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Esperon | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sosua Summer | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beach Colt (CHI) | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.