Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sunset Grazen | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vancougar | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Concord Bridge | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Incanto (IRE) | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Travelin’ Show | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Double Jab | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kimmer | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ima Track Star | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jetway | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Man Huey | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Texas Wildcat | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Man Joe Roldan | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tess of Hemet | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Santa Barbara S.) – Santa Barbara S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Resolve | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | French Moonlight | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ulysses Rose (IRE) | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cailin Dana | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hey Jessie | 1.80 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Quick Kate | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiger of the Sea | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smile Baby Smile | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clubhouse Bride | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Syntax | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miz Clubcali | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stay for the Boom | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Romantic Ride | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King’s Ride | 1.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tamarando Beach | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Original One | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maker and Sons | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | What a Gift | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Dirty Words | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Clever Clover | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Chicks Only | 30.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Chasin Munny | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bluegrass Go Go | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Carol’s Comic | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Runkerry | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Love Candy | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 98 | Atomic Drop | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tulavia’s World | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Greys Over Bays | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Icons Only | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hard Hearted | 50.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Caves | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Split | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Queen Kimbe | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Babycakes | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Boracay Miss | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sunny Creed | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Glassheart | 6.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Kyathos | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Amor Secreto | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Thriving Autism | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fighting Thunder | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I’malwaysthirsty | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | R Danny Boy | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rockabilly Rebal | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mr Akin | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Naudesnoodle | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Carl Erskine | 4.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Son of Oneeyedmama | 6.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | County Line Kid | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | He’s a Gangster | 5.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Honoring Autism | 30.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silicon Native | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tariff | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pioneer Prince | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ah Jeez | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Geometry | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kawazaki (IRE) | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lord Bullingdon | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zalamo (FR) | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Caisson | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mongolian Apple | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Coolwind | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.