Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Very Bad Guy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ready as Ever | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Change Your Name | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Slew of Fortune | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Hawk | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Point Barrow | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Easter Blessing | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sergeant Sinatra | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jethro Excellence | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Battle Anthem | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Airman Trevor | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Drake Drive | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Davola | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Knockanarrow | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Vino Gray | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Numbers Game | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Buff Gary | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Mamba | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jimmy’s Page | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Battle Lou | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Chubasco Sauce | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz the Coast | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Munyhungry | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rocket Night | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whoosh | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fastidious | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Light My Way | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chris’s Revenge | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kevin’s Strike | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Atrocious | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Riley’s Rockstar | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Union Express | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fromanothamutha | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cojelo Pa Ti | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tricolour | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Concealed Carry | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ahsad | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | B B Bad | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mister Lincoln | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Grahmalamadingdong | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Derek’s Law | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fielding | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cap Steak Robbery | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sams After Party | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Huggy | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Keeping the Faith | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Play the Gray | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Possum | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Solo in Paris | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Stinger Bee | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tavin | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Eib Micrphn | 1.60 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Warrior’s Ransom | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magical Trick | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Snappy Ride | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grace Reformed | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Otter Mischief | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Adero | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Duration | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lure Him In | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Boss Logic | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Happily Delusional | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Game and Smart | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Backtrack | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prairie Dunes | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Southern Dream | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Run My Card | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Watch Hill | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Compa | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Hey Buddy | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Scudetto | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lucchesi | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | What It Tiz | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dirty Harry | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.