Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ready as Ever | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Very Bad Guy | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Change Your Name | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Point Barrow | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Easter Blessing | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Hawk | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Slew of Fortune | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Davola | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Battle Anthem | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sergeant Sinatra | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Drake Drive | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Airman Trevor | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Knockanarrow | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jethro Excellence | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Buff Gary | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Numbers Game | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Mamba | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vino Gray | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jimmy’s Page | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Battle Lou | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rocket Night | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Munyhungry | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chubasco Sauce | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz the Coast | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fastidious | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whoosh | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Chris’s Revenge | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Light My Way | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Union Express | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Atrocious | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kevin’s Strike | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Riley’s Rockstar | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fromanothamutha | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ahsad | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | B B Bad | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mister Lincoln | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cojelo Pa Ti | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Concealed Carry | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tricolour | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grahmalamadingdong | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fielding | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Derek’s Law | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cap Steak Robbery | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sams After Party | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Huggy | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Play the Gray | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Possum | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Stinger Bee | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Keeping the Faith | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Solo in Paris | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Golden Eib Micrphn | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grace Reformed | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tavin | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Snappy Ride | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Warrior’s Ransom | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magical Trick | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Duration | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lure Him In | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Otter Mischief | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Adero | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Boss Logic | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Happily Delusional | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Game and Smart | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prairie Dunes | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hey Buddy | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Southern Dream | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Compa | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lucchesi | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | What It Tiz | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Run My Card | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Watch Hill | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Backtrack | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Scudetto | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dirty Harry | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.