Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, May 7, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Coquito 1.00 1 2-1
6 6 Despo’s Dream 1.40 2.9 5-1
3 3 Floge 15.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Curlin’s Magic 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Jackie the Joker 6.00 4 8-1
2 2 Troubled Luck 30.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Risk Tolerance (IRE) 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Integration 0.80 1.5 3-1
4 4 Carson’s Run 4.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 A Bourbon for Toby 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Big Blue Line 12.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Dreamlike 0.60 SCRATCH
6 6 Dr. Kraft 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bettrluckythangood 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Miztertonic 4.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Mutaawid 1.80 3.6 7-1
1 1 Classic Creation 15.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Likeness 10.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 I Am I Said (GB) 3.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Power Seeker 1.60 SCRATCH
9 9 Determinedly 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Sharp Spark 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Tough Street 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Helen’s Revenge 2.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Khali Magic 4.00 4 8-1
3 3 Princess Becca 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Howling Wind 6.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 City Blocks 15.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Carol T 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Party Animal 10.00 1 2-1
1 1 Onepac 6.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Chess Match 20.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Disparate Impact 3.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Cite Your Sources 4.50 6 11-1
7 7 White Smoke Rising 1.20 6 11-1
6 6 If Ever 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mermaid 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Loveontheleftbank 2.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Tiz the Lady 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Just Tell Anne 4.50 3.6 7-1
9 9 Laylani Lou 8.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Playing Games 3.50 6.4 12-1
3 3 Battle Winner 12.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Pay the Bills (FR) 50.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Reconnected 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Village Person 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Ten Cent Town 2.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Share the Ludt 8.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Disarmed 4.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Lotsa Trouble 10.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Thrill of It 8.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Clancy Fancy 5.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Stewie 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Chips and Fish 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Rules of the Road 3.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Jet Off 3.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Bold Statement 4.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Gaborone 10.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Noble One 30.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Dare Defying 6.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Uncle Barrie 30.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Trail Blaze 2.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Crowbar Artist 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.