Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Argan | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gypsan | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Animal Fries | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cora’s Legacy | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Night Cry | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Temporarilyforever | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wish Carefully | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aubrey’s Max | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Romantic Lead | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Phenomenal Dream | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Fast Joker | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tisum | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mister Banderas | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | You Belong Here | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gallo de Fuego | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Livehappy | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aerate | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Odorico | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Catamount | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Fancy Lady | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Toast the Star | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cheddar | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Victor Valley | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cearnach | 10.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fregata | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Beau Cup | 15.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Anna of Austria | 20.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Spare Me | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Fashion Quest | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Cardiff Reef | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Yes Julia | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Vivianite | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Amazon Time | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Note | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Dig | 1.40 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sassy Princess | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ce La Vi Charli | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cervaro Della Sala (GB) | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mom’s Cheesecake | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Somethinabouther | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fantastical | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Contrary | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Ilze (GB) | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Liam in the Dust | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bracelet | 1.60 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Exclusive Star | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Saratoga Special (IRE) | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sanctify | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Itchy | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eleos | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Captain Mercury | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cerberus | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sparked | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tilt a Twirl | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bandstand | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chairmanoftheboard | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Knicks N Stones | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tap Me a Song | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Madaket Road | 0.40 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Imagine John | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Editor | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ghost Tales | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tom Cat Tuesday | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Antrax | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mendels Mate | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vintur | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | West End Kid | 2.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Zakinthos | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fancy Sailor | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Exonerate | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Time for America | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Zeus’s Echo | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Classic Tap | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Casa Cielo | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Brave Force | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Chambersville | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Mischief Ride | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Sunrise | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.