Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Chemical Romance | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Risk | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eternity | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thom Thom | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Kid Is Back | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Willian | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Back Nine Stakes | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | La Scatta | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Annie Goodbody | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magnetic Beach | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Game Changer Jolie | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Das Ist Alles Ally | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lunar Unit | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lobo Go | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Western Shaft | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | G Speedy | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jimbo Bailey | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Emerging Leader (ARG) | 1.80 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Lazarus | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Araucano | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Starship Vengeance | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Package | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Looks to Kill | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mimi Willy | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Agenda | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Perfect Lady | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sweetster | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Calypso Moon | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Unshakable | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Drama | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Love Actually | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chance to Party | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Boot’s On the Moon | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ocala Gala | 4.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aerialist | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lucy’s Cookie | 5.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Get the Win | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | The Pulse | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moonstrocity | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wordondastreet | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Luz de Guia | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maxxander | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Give It Time | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ready to Battle | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gimme Some Luck | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Early Delivery | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wudhooh | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fashionable Kitty | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seekingbythestorm | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Thunder Princess | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Outlaw Country | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Manhattan Boy | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Never Say Never | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dixie Preach | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jonny Quist | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flag Officer | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fredericksburg | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Souper Debonair | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Noble Sky | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Star of the Gun | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dr. Jekyll | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Workinclasskid | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. First | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sir Guinness | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Valued Effort | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.