Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Father Ted | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Davis | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Agides | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pecos River | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moon | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Code Duello | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Happy | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wizard of Westwood | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Caribbean King | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Enterdadragon | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Aloha Dreamin | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tupelo | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Headstrong Ways | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Daddy | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lena Lindgard | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Toulouse Detrac | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Neezer Dalton | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bear’s Board | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eighties | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Infinity Dream | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Motet | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mia Forza | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Anywaythewindblows (GB) | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lahar | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Endless Smoke | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Buena Vida | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sentient Soon | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Poki Loki | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stay My Girl | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stay Bossy | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shemakesmemad | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Allequin Summer | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Southern Melodee | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uecker | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Start the Ride | 1.20 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beeblebrox | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gogotiz | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bitter Truth | 1.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Danzig Til Dawn | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Southern Riff | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sky At Sunrise | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Despite | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Originaire | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Kambree’s Flyer | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Blame It On Abby | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Butterfly Beach | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jennys Wine Girl | 1.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Amor Secreto | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Isle of Angels | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Atina Liz | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chef Kate | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thriving Autism | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Baby Needs Shoes | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Tina’s Princess | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Up for the Hunt | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Magic Carpet Ride | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.