Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Pop Paul | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Landing Craft | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Muir Woods | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dispersion | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Army Wildcatter | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Skynet | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nash Potatoes | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Longstrider | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Click | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Voluntold | 12.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Frosty for Ever | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pauline’s Angel | 30.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Muscle Mommy | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crystal Frost | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Total Fabrication | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Sweetbitters | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Chiquita’s Way | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Consolidated | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Armed N Dangerous | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mirage | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Askari | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Baytown Bruiser | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Emancipation | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Truly Legit | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | I Don’t Get It | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Warrior Richard | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Authentic Gallop | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eye Witness | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Skyro | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bestfriend Rocket | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zapruder | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Comprehensive | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Causeway | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Limelight | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Supercharger | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sigfrid | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mr Bobo | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Swerve | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hey Dey | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Culper Code | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Mojo | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bluegrass Pike | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | In America | 30.00 | 13.4 | 25-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Lahainaluna | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | T V Channel | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Maximus Prime | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Terre Haute | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sharons Angels | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | In Rainbows | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scuffle | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tims | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rochester | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stone County | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Run Like Forrest | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sequoia Stars | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gentleman Jim | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Grand Luxx | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Empath | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jaboss | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wrong Shoes | 2.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sassy Fox | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | What’s the Tea | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trapped | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | California Smoke | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Special Sauce | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sumood | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Monterey Bay | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dr. Park | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Two Beers by Ten | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Love’m Or Liam | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sheriff Bart | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jimmy Rules | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | B B Prince | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rocky Joy | 15.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Master of Light | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cinister Cix | 8.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Taunting | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Master Controller | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Show of Force | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Shure | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Admiral Dennis | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gould’s Gold | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bernin Hot | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiztastic | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Timeout | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tennessee Lamb | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Welaka | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (William Walker S.) – William Walker S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Outfielder | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sandal’s Song | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ketchum | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Throckmorton | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reb Five | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rebel With a Cause | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Walter the Mason | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Twilight Delight | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cognizant | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Rockin Robin | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Daring Madison | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Quick to Charm | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lil Tipsy | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lost Chord | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cosmopolitan Lady | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Passionfruit | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ships Inn | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Full Dolly | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tanya’s Momentum | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | West of Lex | 12.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Donna Strada | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.