Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sunset for Sandra | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Classic Cash | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Maximum to Excel | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Charmit | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Night Birdie | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Starlit Sofi | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Into the Deep | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | D D’s Legacy | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Furn | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cause I’m Rollin | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fallen Star | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tough Tommy | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mighty Koa | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bluegrass Tap | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bad Boy Brawny | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Getoutyourwallet | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Happy | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | In the Mix | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Precious Cargo | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stumpy’s Love Song | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Kween’s King | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Delacina | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Demidanu | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Titled Lady | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stone Cold Lover | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | So Jacksann | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Popperina | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | West Coast Cowboy | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cloudy Holiday | 10.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Rapha | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Our Flat Out | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Wicked Strong | 3.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shifty Gold | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Steam Powered | 1.80 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mash On the Gas | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Winning Chance | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lets Shakeit Sugar | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Captain | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Anchored in Love | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Addy Up | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Glengloria | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Song Magic | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dixie Surprise | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Strollin Wild | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | La Fee’s Secret | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Five Charlie | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Razor Wire | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Band’s Free Spirit | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Wally | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Burn Indy Burn | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Steely Eye | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Red Kingdom | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wily Wade | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quietline | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Harry Blueblood | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.