Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Maximum to Excel | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Starlit Sofi | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Charmit | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Night Birdie | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sunset for Sandra | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Classic Cash | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | D D’s Legacy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cause I’m Rollin | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Into the Deep | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bad Boy Brawny | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Furn | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tough Tommy | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mighty Koa | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fallen Star | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bluegrass Tap | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | In the Mix | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Happy | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Getoutyourwallet | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Precious Cargo | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Kween’s King | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stumpy’s Love Song | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Demidanu | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Delacina | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Popperina | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | So Jacksann | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stone Cold Lover | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Titled Lady | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Steam Powered | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Wicked Strong | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Rapha | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | West Coast Cowboy | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shifty Gold | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cloudy Holiday | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Our Flat Out | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mash On the Gas | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lets Shakeit Sugar | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Captain | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Anchored in Love | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Glengloria | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Addy Up | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Song Magic | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Winning Chance | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dixie Surprise | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Strollin Wild | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Quietline | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | La Fee’s Secret | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Burn Indy Burn | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Wally | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Five Charlie | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Red Kingdom | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Razor Wire | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Steely Eye | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wily Wade | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Band’s Free Spirit | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Harry Blueblood | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.