Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, May 11, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Broad Strokes 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Classic Mystery 6.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Laughing Lady 4.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Daisy Believes 12.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Saint Grace 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Nouveau Riche 20.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Seven P R C 6.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Wonderfulvenezuela 15.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Royalties Riches 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Anita Glassofwine 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Weekend Honor 8.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Smokin Hot Wife 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Think I’m in Love 4.50 2.9 5-1
6 6 J C’s Lovin’ Life 2.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 City Broad 15.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Flee 3.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Magic Word 12.00 1 2-1
6 6 Always in Play 4.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Dreaming of Bella 1.60 2.6 5-1
4 4 Essential Girl 5.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Maye’s Misfit 15.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Midwest Princess 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Umbral 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Bright Kohana 8.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Chelsea Wall 2.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Tomarie 8.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Classy Miss 8.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Goldcrest 4.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Tariba Dream 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bonafide 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 And Thats My Story 6.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Tall Cotton 4.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Tavern Time 3.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Housebuster Dude 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Extrasexymcsteemee 5.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Real Men Violin 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Son of Thor 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Bermuda Run 3.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Runandscore 4.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Mac Daddy Too 6.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Backside Buzz 4.50 3 6-1
1 1 Jackson Road 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Brave Blend 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mo’s Vino Mesa 20.00 1 2-1
8 8 Hi Heeled Warrior 4.50 1.3 2-1
4 4 Miss Chamita 2.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Alma Brilha 3.50 3 6-1
5 5 Ghostly Girl 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Amy Mule 5.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Beyond a Million 15.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Stay Opportunistic 15.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Waitwaitdonttellme 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Pachelbel 1.80 1 2-1
7 7 Pearls and Heels 2.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Misspent 10.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Faytastic 20.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Jump a Fox 10.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Tara’s Talent 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Literary 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Winning Time 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Windsor Gold 12.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Soze 12.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Factor U and Me In 4.50 2.5 5-1
8 8 Gordian Knot 3.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Awesome Flay 8.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Counterspy 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Bernie’s Mitts 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ducale 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Magicnthemoonlight 3.50 3 6-1
8 8 Big Brown Shoes 5.00 4 8-1
6 6 Power Agenda 4.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Tuff Constitution 5.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Twentyeighttothree 3.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Bullet Breeze 20.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Sophia’s Prince 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Seven Anniversary 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Mission First 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.