Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Luminous Secret | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | As the Bell Toles | 1.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Margo’s Margarita | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Kitten | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Amorica | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Turbo Millie | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shines Madelin | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eloper | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Nit Witness | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alyvia Mavis | 1.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Missy’s Map | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vanaka | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Summer Love | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet and Feisty | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Collection Day | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Majestic Tiger | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Artwell | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tubtimsiam | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hawkstone | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Martini Martin | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hardy Choice | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Long Astride | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pierce Elevated | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Strategist | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Blues Music | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Run Chachy Run | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Everlasting Lover | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Line of Frost | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Mo Town | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | It’s Nancytime Now | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Ellie | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Broadcaster | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Protege | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Heaven Street | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Amusing Mischief | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Old Town Road | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Russian Hammer | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Discreet Devil | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Prom Knight | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ikigai | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Medium Cool | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dream Eagle | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sassy Sangria | 3.50 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lizzy Liz | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blame and Fortune | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red Beach | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beauxbatons | 3.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Jig | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Embrace the Moment | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Echo Juliet | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Panchita | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chatelot | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Parametric | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Borz | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Essentially Fast | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Twelve Nelson | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mencke | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Winner | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Palace Revolt | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King of the World | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.