Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Just Peachy | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fire Song | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Through the Years (IRE) | 0.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Happy Away | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Honey Honey | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | We Goin | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nashoba | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Morning Menace | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Long Term Market | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Amended Dreamer | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Highgrove | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Run Wild | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hot Rod Hottie | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Oklahoma Smoke | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | D’s a Rock | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sunshine Lily | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Power of Women | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Celtic Dawn | 1.40 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amy’s Light | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dark Assault | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Talent | 1.20 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sorrentino | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moon On Fire | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chili Palmer | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chess Match | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jubilee Parade | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Frostelle | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Copious | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sidearm | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grunge | 3.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Marble Hall | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | He’s My Kind | 4.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crude Intentions | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Pair of Socks | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Oil Capital | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Day One Starter | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Buttah | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiger Twenty Four | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Divine Peace | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cravings | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sparkling Mama | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Rose | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Margarita Molly | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Killa Sally | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Celestial Body | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Starship Godiva | 1.20 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Island Charm | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grit N Glitter | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Delilah | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Khali’s Storm | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | I Rest My Case | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bounding Along | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Successful Agenda | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Improbable | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.