Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cardio Cat | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Juneau | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Honky Tonk Girl | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baytown Ona | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spun Tight | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | By Grace | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Lollipop | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Lux | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Global Sensation | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Raising Kane | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Martini Blu | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ready to Pounce | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Derby Date | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Be Here | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Creek | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ready to Roll | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nip N Tuck | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ready Pursuit | 50.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Nilo’s Rose | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Liuzza | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Story Hour | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beira | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tiffany Twist | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sunset Harbour | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just an Opinion | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Steampunk | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rosieontheriver | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cut Throat | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Crossfire | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beach Sandals | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Bourbon Town | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Munny Jack | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Captain Luke | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bardstown Road | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Goodbye to Romance | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rock Havoc | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Take Charge Beach | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stazitto | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ali’s Glory | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Fortune King | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Presider | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carcano | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Majesty (GB) | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Westside Tide | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Noble Confessor | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coiled | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Freedom’s Way | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Tapit Shoes | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Harrow | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Goldeneye | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Clyde’s Got a Gun | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Soleil Volant | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Hidden Chamber | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | End of Romance (IRE) | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Daunt | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Curlin’s Malibu | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Classic Car Wash | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Inexorable | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Keen Cat | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Badge of War | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carolo Rapido | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hurry Hurry | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | House United | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fourth Dimension | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coalmoon | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Render Judgment | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fountain Run | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fear of Union | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Master Controller | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sixtyseven Mustang | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Twirling Claire | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Conquering Marin (IRE) | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prosecco Gal | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Newsrelease | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Spare Me | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Redhawk Riddler | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Belle Amour | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Retrospective | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vivianite | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Sweettalkingwoman | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Julie | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cardiff Reef | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Poverty With Aview | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sheer Jazz | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Fraud Alert | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Amazon Time | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.