Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Triathelon | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Majestic Blue | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Fairfield Bay | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Mach Two Blue | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Derz Smart | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Raging Cajun | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Imperial Spy | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Better Watch It | 3.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Attrayant | 5.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tactics | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dats Tap | 8.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Maupansant | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blackthorne Brusca | 15.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sneaking Suspicion | 12.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Salvo Trigger | 20.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Kitten’s Ploy | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Clavin | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hell Ofa Hillbilly | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lannister | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Neverworkedaday | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zio Lino | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kitty’s Son | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Christmas Jones | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spinning Class | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Snow Bella | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Magic Beam | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Firestreak | 4.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kinda Clever | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 5 | Sterling Cat | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Paynted by Nancy | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Birdie Mae | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Hopperetta | 30.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Woman Enticed | 20.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
| 1A | 14 | Dutchman’s Map | 12.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Spresso Mar | 20.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Quiet Serenity | 8.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pneumo Warrior | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cross of Valor | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beauxbatons | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Truly Thrilling | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lux | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Peace Before Chaos | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Brief Affair | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ada Girl Adaline | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Nate the Great | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Create Trouble | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sundaeswithsandy | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Night Time Nap | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Magical Ways | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Regal Kingdom | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Barnstorming | 5.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bigtonten | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mucho Mojo | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | More Vino | 3.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fully Booked | 8.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sell Something | 10.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Sun Above | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 14 | 15 | Outrunner | 1.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Lordship | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Dairago (FR) | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 3 | El de Larry | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Drilling for Gold | 4.50 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Straight to Water | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 9 | Tuff Luck | 10.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Falfurrias | 20.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 |
| 1A | 14 | Joe the Jet | 10.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Copper Ghost | 20.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Hanksdiviningrod | 30.00 | 14.1 | 27-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Sticktothesystem | 30.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Go Grey | 20.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 |
| 9 | 8 | Upshot | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Poor Peanut | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wonder Mist | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Palacios | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | G Q Worthy | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Caseofthemondays | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Laysen | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flirty Bajan | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | R J’s Ice | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mizner | 2.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Surgical Precision | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Paco the Taco Man | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fear Nothing | 3.50 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Outdoor Cat | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Roger Roger | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jolly by Golly | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Boost | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sin Boldly | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Clearly Sophia | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Marital Trust | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Lis | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Charlotte’s Cay | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Take Home Gold | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Music Box | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.