Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mister Monday Nite | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | J C’s Boys | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bold Fact | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hit Zero | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Regency Tale | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Isaiah Fiftythree | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dr. Buzzy | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tax and Tags | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Good Man Dan | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Boastfully Irish | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Parkes | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kohoutek | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Big Tankness | 2.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Without Borders | 4.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Firmantown | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jigger | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Great Heavens | 10.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Built by Khozan | 5.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Benny Havens | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Claudee Boy | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lonesome Road | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Derbyness | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vance Scholars | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hittheroadjak | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Statesman | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Surfside Moon | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Majorca | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Noble Jon | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Noah Chance | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Talented Man | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Boss Is a Pal | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hunter Joe | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Turbulent Force | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tough Workout | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Point Liam | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Catahoula Moon | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Barzini | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Transactional Guy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Garage Beers | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Country Bumpkin | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Red Sea | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Chimney Sweep | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Typhoon Kuhn | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hard Stance | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Se Thar Barr | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Golden Descent | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kuhner | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Golf Cart Ryder | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Long Straw | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Guerrilla Magic | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bright Time | 15.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Really Ready | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Fortune Hill | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Start Tappin | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gum | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sota Summers | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | American Tapit | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hay Grace Brennan | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | La Devita | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Raisin Weekend | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Toocoolforschool | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kimmy Got Glasses | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Nicksie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Resort (FR) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Daring Grace (GB) | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | King Size | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | McCullough | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Naptown | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sky’s Not Falling | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Primed to Go | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hold Out | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sardis | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Noted | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cadeau d’Argent | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Frosty the Giant | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Wow Whata Party | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wine Collector | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Light Mood (FR) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Miss Preakness S.) – Miss Preakness S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Little Miss Curlin | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Peach Tie | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tessellate | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lights Out Leni | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Getting Closer | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Late Night Text | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Victory Music | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Hilltop S.) – Hilltop S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Brat Pack | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Coach Mazzula | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ultimate Love | 0.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Use Me (IRE) | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Siouxse | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Unmiztaken | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I Love Giraffes | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allaire Dupont Distaff S.) – Allaire Dupont Distaff S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Complexity Jane | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Margie’s Intention | 1.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Low Country Magic | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Late Nite Call | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Queen Azteca | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Too Many Kisses | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Ourdaydreaminggirl | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Waveless | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (The Very One S.) – The Very One S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Saturday Flirt | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lost and Found | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Les Reys (FR) | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Somnium | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Malibu Hooch | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sporting Lady | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Strutsherstuff | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sunna | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Julee’s Legacy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Pimlico Special S.) – Pimlico Special S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | San Siro | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Aaron | 4.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Navajo Warrior | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Yo Daddy | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maclean’s Rook | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Duke of Duval | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Xcellent Start | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (George E. Mitchell Black-eyed Susan S.) – George E. Mitchell Black-eyed Susan S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | My Miss Mo | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jumping the Gun | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Braken Poppa | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Holly’s Holiday | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Fulton Gal | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | A. P.’s Girl | 5.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ivy Girl | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Majestic Lucia | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Savor It | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Haute Diva | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 14 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Street Party | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tartabull | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Close the Gate | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bala de Plata | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No More Calls | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Make It Quick | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Higher Sense | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.