Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 16, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Big Hat Willie 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Factually Correct 4.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Beary Funny 2.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Stewie 10.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Graywing 15.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Nabokov 4.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Clancy Fancy 4.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Divine Intentions 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Gena B 3.50 4.4 8-1
1 1 Law School 4.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Niche 4.00 5 9-1
6 6 Prince of Broadway 3.00 5 9-1
3 3 Getting Closer 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Will of a Womanne 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Midnightloveaffair 4.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 That’sthefactjack 5.00 3 6-1
4 4 Dat Dares Right 8.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Eleni 6.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Ishkabibble 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Combatant’s Song 15.00 8 15-1
5 5 Chardonnay Derby 3.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Shore War 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Madonna of Loreto 8.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Soloshot 3.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Sadie Earp 3.50 4.6 9-1
7 7 She’s Got Will 4.50 6.7 13-1
8 8 Bourbon Betty 5.00 7 13-1
2 2 Coach Albert Lady 8.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Will Not Be Swayed 12.00 8 15-1
9 9 Romantic Dancer 1.80 SCRATCH
10 10 Sheer Will 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Mila Candy 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sounds Like Fun 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Private Flight 2.50 1.3 2-1
8 8 Swiss Army Knife 1.80 1.6 3-1
1 1 Isola d’Oro 8.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Magnum’s Macrobrst 15.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Stayfrostymyfriend 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Baby Meanie 20.00 7 13-1
5 5 Big Brooklyn 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 High Tide 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Brew Pub 4.50 1.3 2-1
7 7 Laughing Boy 12.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Prove Worthy 3.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Texas Red Hot 6.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Screaming Uncle 8.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Brave Bear 10.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Mystic Night 20.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Centavo 8.00 8.8 17-1
5 5 Knox 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Mykonos 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Until Last Call 5.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Peyton 2.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Beau Cheval 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Calvary Hill 12.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Eye On the Ball 10.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 War Anthem 8.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Lobbyist 8.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Tony Hooks 20.00 9 17-1
11 11 Bootsy’s a Rascal 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Richies Love 2.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Keep ‘Em Honest 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Night Jasmine 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Athena’s Fury 3.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Sky Low Low 8.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Rocket Robin 6.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Speed Walking 10.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Not Tapping 8.00 8.6 16-1
8 8 Addagirl Addie 12.00 8.6 16-1
2 2 Valiant Diva 6.00 9 17-1
6 6 Two Clicks 15.00 9 17-1
10 10 Enterprisingly 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Hip Hop Dancer 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ez Roll 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Concorde Spirit 3.50 1.1 2-1
3 3 Berning Beauty 12.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Cicciobello 6.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Shadow Dragon 4.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Leftembehind 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Three B’s 5.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Lotsa Trouble 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Burning Bridges 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Tough Critic 8.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Wit Storm 3.50 5.5 10-1
7 7 Sunday Boy 8.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Stormy Birthday 6.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Lawyer Mason 8.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Joe West 15.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 Joker On Fire 5.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Voodoo Doll 8.00 9 17-1
5 5 I’m Due 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Love Coin 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Naguile 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Qbits 12.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Leave Me 6.00 3.3 6-1
11 11 Twirling Lad 8.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Uncle Barrie 50.00 7 13-1
2 2 Rons Legacy 12.00 7 13-1
1 1 Start the Day 15.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Sleep Walking 2.50 10.4 20-1
10 10 Ohonte’s Own 6.00 10.5 20-1
5 5 Nowucme Nowudont 8.00 10.5 20-1
6 6 Emotionlyavailble 6.00 11 21-1
13 13 Poppy’s Ticket 3.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Bargain Purchase 1.80 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.