Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My Foolish Notion | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | UFO (PER) | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | H Abarrio | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Secret Power | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I Wanna Be Me | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Skyliner | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Infinityandbeyond | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sarkis | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cousin Vinny | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cadenced | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Altamira Sur | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ditched | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tigerish | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Starship Melody | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | City Minute | 2.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Achieve | 2.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bonita Breeze | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tape Runner | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Not Now Nick | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Love Hate | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lodato | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Message of Hope (IRE) | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nano Man | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | American Tact | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Messagefromtheking | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chimuelo | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Araucano | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mega Don | 5.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ez Orb Not | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Loco Por Ser Libre | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Classy Prince | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | American Direction | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Supreme Honor | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Beautiful Bill | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Monroe S.) – Monroe S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Minty | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Turino | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Public Defender | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Little Jamie | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flowers for Me | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Mary Nell | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Make the Boys Wink | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fantasy Performer | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silver Moonlight | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fly Erik Fly | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | McKellen | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Walter Me Lad | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shinigami | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Back in the Saddle | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Halfin | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Peacethrustrength | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Gus Swayze | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Sulion | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Antonino | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vin Number | 30.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Saratoga Cruiser | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Frosted Punk | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Malcolm X (PER) | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Giuro | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sponge Time | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Starship Magellan | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | David Pepperman | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Surfer’s Joy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Project Pat | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Adieu | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Municipal | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Happy Mischief | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lost Money | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hayden Remembered | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kingswearcrowns | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Mr. Steele S.) – Mr. Steele S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Horsepower | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tank | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gran Oriente (CHI) | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Indecisiveness | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paris Surprise | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | War Bomber (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Missed the Cut | 4.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Discreet Dancer | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Surf’s Up | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Schnittker | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chaplin | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fast Fixer | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Readier | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Captain Eddie | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hollywood Mayhem | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Valid Sense | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Air Force Cruising | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Carambaso | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Maitre D | 4.50 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Neophyte | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Looking At Unicity | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beautiful Emma | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Scarlett’s Law | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Starlight Luna | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Coded Elegance | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Victorious Secret | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Holy Spicy | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fantasy World | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Trippin | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sovereign Grace | 3.50 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Money Trail | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Idiom | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Riyah Al Nil | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Senta Says | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Whiskey Whim | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Banba | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.