Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Highlight Show | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cajun Hottie | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lonely Woman | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sissy Sox | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweat | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cutenclassy | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | J J’s Fight | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Margarita Twosday | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tuscany Gal | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Overqualified | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Reuleaux | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ready Time | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Give Or Take | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Choctaw Zip | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Brahms Image | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Seeking Sawyer | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Master Game | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | El Sargento | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clay’s Black Opal | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blow Torch | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Permafrost | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Conway | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Probably | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Secreto Uno | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Into Battle | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mo’s Flying Low | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stillbilly | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Southfork | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Free of Frost | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Twisted Steel | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fifth Avenue | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Defending Albert | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Justa Streak | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Woodspoint | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Holiday House | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sprint Out Pass | 2.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vale | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cactus League | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Golden Circle S.) – Golden Circle S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | It’s All Right | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Clockin In | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Strollsmischief | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Canned Heat | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | How About Bob | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Omero | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | How Bout That Curt | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stormforged | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Crux | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mister J. P. | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Meeker | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I Lived My Dream | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Skipped a Beat | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Run for Gold | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ambrose | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | K B’s Street | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.