Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bee Me | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Perfect | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Speedy Connection | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Elissa’s Macho | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Baccaro Point | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Noisy Cricket | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rainbows Hero | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bettermustcome | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sassagoula River | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clear Position | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Interim Analysis | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sanhedrin | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Codicia Por Vida | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Firstgeneral Nikao | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Castle Harbour | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Waitingforaholiday | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Clearwater Beach | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hymn to Her | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Iona | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | You Be the Judge | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Arianna’s Tour | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Greenwich Pike | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Worry Less | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Might Bee Trouble | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Save the Date | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Reach for the Top | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Anita Margarita | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I’m Tenacious | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Moventothecountry | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | World Showcase | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ludicrous | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’ve Got the Honey | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kinzie Girl | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mathematical | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lainey | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady On a Mission | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Captivating Name | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | You and Me Baby | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pin Boy | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Boy Bruce | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Devil’s Tongue | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbononaholiday | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Out N Out Disgrace | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss D’s Pride | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Highland Peak | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Souper Strider | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Aethelflaed (IRE) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Veery | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Fusion | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Jade | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miramichi | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bound to Be True | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Ruling Angel S. Presented By Ketel One) – Ruling Angel S. Presented By Ketel One
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Luster | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dixie Law | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lakota Lady | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Meilani | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Frosty Mojito | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gray Dee One | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Philip Banks | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dewolf | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Signature Sir | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Duckduckduck | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quadzilla | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fracen Macho | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Frac Right | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pretty Vicious | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bazooka Jane | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Refinement | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Superfly Chick | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Princess Rainbow | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Inescapable | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Elusive Yaupon | 3.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Illy | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lazy Y Collection | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Campus Queen | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Keytothepark | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lady Bia | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Katherine’s Cub | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Daddy’s Secret | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Morerita | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mighty Tanner | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Regal Affair | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aleatoric | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rideau Falls | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Boss Lady J | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Turn Now | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Angel Danielle | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Money Heist | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.