Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Humorous Saint | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | His Way | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Midshakin | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Comprehend | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mubarez | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Actung Baby | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gimme a Chance | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Last Diamond | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I Love Rocknstroll | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Milton Street | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | On a Dare | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Better Than Good | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky’s Secret | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cabo Mischief | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gambler Rocket | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Severe Clear | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brumbodoppelganger | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sic’ Em’ Sis | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Payton’s Beauty | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aunt Alex | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Karson Kay | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fourlynnes | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Signdsealddeliverd | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Street Twirl | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bella’s Atreides | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Que Sera | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brenda’s Beauty | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kaybella | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Go Thunder Go | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Spirit Rules | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Maritime Millie | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Saturdaynitealrite | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mathurine | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bayleywick | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Strikethreeyourout | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jeri Dawn | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Milliganmikeandme | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ms. Hillary | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Ratings Handicap) – Ratings Handicap
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Parkway | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Swiss Guard | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beyond Best | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon Life | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Indian Cat | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cupid’s Thunder | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Papa Funny | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | J T’s Imagination | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Aspiring Comedian | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Macho Forty Five | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dontdrinkanddrive | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I Like It Black | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Virtue’s Reward | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Time to Sing | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tobin Lee | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mc Cougar | 3.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quietline | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.