Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pure Realization | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chartage | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Just Cheesy | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spherification | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Winning Song | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sunny Magic | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Marchin Into April | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Coach Clint | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mona L | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Flight | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sandy Girl | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Astrid | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Royalties Riches | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sugar Princess | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Catalina | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alyvia’s Lil Girl | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Persuasive | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Courageous Fergie | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Onmywaytosavthday | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gingersayschill | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pittore d’Oro | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Give Her Another | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Keystormrising | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tariba Dream | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Center Stage | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zoning Order | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Peach Perfect | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Boss Like Beth | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mollewantacracker | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Goldcrest | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ambitiously Placed | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Never Sway | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Faytastic | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sonadora Girl | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sheza Bernardini | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Goldieness | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sundria | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Browneyedvalentine | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fuhgeddaboudit | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Creme Caramel | 15.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Paddy’s Gift | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gia’s Fuego | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bright Kohana | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bon Fire Diva | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | So Swell | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Solemn Oath | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Ortho Star | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Aficionado | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fully Committed | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Asmodeus | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Skinny Joey | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Mendelssohn | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Save a Prayer | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Au Some Warrior | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hey Buddy | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Harp’s Hot Corner | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Borracho | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Transcendental | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Romantic Gamble | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nancy Made My Day | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Twentyeighttothree | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Cojelo Pa Ti | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Speedyness | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ninetyprcentmaddie | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Counterspy | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cadet Corps | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Boys Answer | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lonesome Boy | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Veeson | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fight Fiercely | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Adios Jersey | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jerry’s Turn | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cisco Kid | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maliblue | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Capital Conquest | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Twenty One Kid | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Onlygodcanjudgeme | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bad Advice | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.