Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon N Lace | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Why Not Grace | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Audibly | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Principia | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beautiful Blome | 1.20 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | As the Bell Toles | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Backnthewoods | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Inter Miami | 1.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Float On | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Discreet Devil | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Getaway | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rolly | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prom Knight | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Pemberley | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bugged Out | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bottle Rocket (FR) | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sing Scat | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Forest Acclamation | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Interpatation | 2.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Always Forward | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Radio Goo Goo | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | High Hearts | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet and Feisty | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sexy Red Dress | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | What If | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vino Bella | 0.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tapwrit Warrior | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Murray | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Patton’s Tizzy | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Broadcaster | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just Relax | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Triple Pass | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Guaio | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whiting Field | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | People Watching | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | War Belle | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Krissys Star | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sea Zest | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Yau Majesty | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Woodruff | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Temecula | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lundi Loot | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Falcon Cove | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spamalot | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pilote Comete | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Set for Life | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yes I Will | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Overspent | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Platform | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mister Roscoe | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Great Quality | 1.80 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lil Sebastian | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mose Smokin | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.