Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Beach Life | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mallet Lady | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Money Pants | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Outlaw Annie | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Twice the Life | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Petrolo | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Apalta | 1.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon Chase | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Commander | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shipsational | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Natural Hunk | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Airborne Elite | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Seat At the Table | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Notable Exchange | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stillthinkingofyou | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mrs. Katz | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Patty Cakes | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pens Street | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | I’m Buzzy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Soundbite | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gypsy Dreaming | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Celestial Glaze | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Curvino | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Windsor Gold | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Paradise Valley | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Superpower | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My Girl Aubree | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fifteen Over | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quell | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Call Me Jal | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bengalese | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alma’s Law | 2.50 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | North Starlight | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Maizey Blue | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Scythian | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Can’t Fool Me | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saratoga Snow | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Downtown Channel | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Snowy Evening | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Considerate City | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tough Street | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Fast and Frisky | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Mommasgottagun | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Higher Force | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tuscan Sky | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | T Kraft | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | El Grande O | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Raise the Bar | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Little Ni | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | General Banker | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Over and Ollie | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Money Supply | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Urgency | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nod to Tran | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Two Ducks | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Always Packen | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Oligarch | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Levi Warrior | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Traverse City | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Felonious | 3.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Thunder Roll | 4.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.