Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Vicki Rose | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Bebsi | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spotaway | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Carol’s Melody | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ashkenazi | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Up the Creek | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Let Her Fly | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Storm Diva | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Express Success | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Washton | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Estardotoo | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | High Class Broad | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bee Crazy | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gee Tee | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Bit Tipsy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Shining Moment | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Silver Magic | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bourbon’s Fault | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Army Officer | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tres Soles | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | C F V Bullet | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Great Escape | 2.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twirling Troillet | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bloodline | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | You Ain’t Poppn | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coastal Breeze | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Livehappy | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mi Dinero | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dr Fenn | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Waco | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Smols | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spinning Pride | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Beautiful Twice | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Danzig’s Dora | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rando | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thatsalrightmama | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Taqdeer | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spankerboom | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ashes and Diamonds | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Higgins Boat | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Exact Estimate | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Honky Tonk Highway | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | In a Jam | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Otago | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Morunning | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Coco Cool | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beef Winslow | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Saint in the City | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Rigel | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Frosty Indulgence | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sketch (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | In Scope | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Al Ghadeer | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Our Girl | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Aegis | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Island Flower | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bodacious Bay | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wedelia | 6.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Complicated | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flash of Freedom | 10.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fast Gun | 8.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Babysitter | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sonhador | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Mancuso | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Charted Destiny | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Wonzee Weather | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Daring Move | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Harrodsburg | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Floodlites | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Verifire | 1.20 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tough Catch | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thoughtthatcounts | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Furio | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sound Cause | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mary’s Boy Bolt | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Mischief | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Makutu | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Garryowen | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Utopian | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz Freedom | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Dover Specter | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Razorcat | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Taunting | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Snare | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Gene and Jude | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Survivin’onaprayer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Best Known Secret | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.