Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Love You Lippy | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Genius of Love | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blazing Sky | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mitole Power | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Cash Factor | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sloans Sky | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bella Classica | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maxine Magic | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vrana (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Black Goddess | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Serenading Amaya | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reload Eh | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fully Completely | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tristar Fury | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chervonaruta | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Albie First | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Socially Intact | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hope She Fires | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pipinna | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Just Follow Me | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gretna Green | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zipfire | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Naughty Destiny | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wildfire | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Holiday Rose | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zippy Gamble | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mi Tormenta | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nightsaber (GB) | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Vamos Viejo | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Echo With Laughter | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Napa Spirit (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dissectologist | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Heat Merchant | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Your Valentino | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Legal Attack (GB) | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sheshimaintenance | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chipotle Pepper | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Foxy Diva | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Voice From Above | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Happy Valentine | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hard to Capture | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Founder’s Day | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Dancin Mary Marie | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | No Mistake | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Serious Green | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Florida Vacation | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ookpik | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Strawberry World | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Butterfly Billie | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Henna Gal | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | La Ronde | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Our Lilly | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.