Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fridayswithmurray | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Home Invasion | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Owhatanite | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Finn McSorley | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Imagine It All | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Return Fire | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Green Beans | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Hyteck Prince | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Fairfield Bay | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Great Artist | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Island Bandit | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Remembertheword | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baru | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Speed Focused | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magic Elixir | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pelican Pier | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Karma’s Inthehouse | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Star Atlas | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fiery Debut | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flying to Work | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Master Nibbles | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beautiful Quality | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Vida | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Broadside Salvo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Hawksbury Hustler | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Goodluck Road | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Freedom Maker | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rapidity | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cademan | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blo By’em | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Speedy Alex | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Panagiotis | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Top Blood | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mission Mike | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Formal Affair | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Forrest City | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Morning Thoughts | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Likebelivingnmagic | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | City Panda | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hue | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ready for Trouble | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Aldene | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wise and Elegant | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Waittilmidnitehour | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Blame the Banker | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Mopo | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Soaring Angel | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Dale’s Bluff | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | River Seine (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Creed’s Vision | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Enduring Gold | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brightshininglight | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Thataway | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Rye Diggitydog | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Enzo | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sinetic | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Virginia Fitz | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Schrader | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Feisty Notion | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Dynaflame | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Jigger | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Easy Action | 0.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Change My World | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | And Sum | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Roll On Jesse | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dancing Denae | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Randy Said So | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Weekend Wife | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mitole’s Girl | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shine On Moon | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Boys Go to Jupiter | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Minari | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Lien On Her | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Gripen | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.