Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Maximum to Excel | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | American Sue | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Starlit Sofi | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | R N B Baby | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Viola | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Western Feel | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dialed Into You | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Specialsortastorm | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mintastic | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Own the Field | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Forced Ranking | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nullarbor | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Menace | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Historic | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trafalgar’s Hero | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Whirl | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crooked as Can Be | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gold Gunner | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rocknsockconection | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Title Contender | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Net Profit | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Samurai Prince | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dontbesoogrouchy | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quarter Rat | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Negativity | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shut Up Michael (IRE) | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Biyombo | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beau Day | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Call Me Ice Man | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Just a Irish Lad | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cravensworth | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Manny’s Kat | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Warren L | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Our Cornerstone | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tap the Brakes | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Thunderstruck | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Hawks Creek | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Zatara | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spenard | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Conquering Cat | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Inca Empire | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bricklayer | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mena | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Strike Ridge | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Prince and Penny | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ole Mikey Bagels | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Stone Man | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Echobayou | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Galvanizer | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sailorman | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bank Swap | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Modern Band | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | No Free Kisses | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Flat Sprout | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.