Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | America’s Mark | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Christel Clean | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pure Chaos | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Long Mayshe Reign | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kikuride | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Chilly Philly | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tam’s Little Angel | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Idessia | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pavel Is Appealing | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Neezer Dalton | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Goodnight Nellie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 12 | Pavel’s Etoile | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 98 | Celestial Skies | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 13 | Cashed | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Free Closer | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Thirsty Caitlin | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I’m Smoken Hot | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lihue Princess | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Potica | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sauced Up | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Glorys Morning | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pay One More Dream | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lipstick Lies | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Babys Gone Country | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Quick Up | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Soo Bronx | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Thor’s Echo S.) – Thor’s Echo S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Book Smart | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big City Lights | 1.20 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Chilly | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lonesome Stew | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Drop Um | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thirsty Rebel | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pure Madness | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Fran’s Valentine S.) – Fran’s Valentine S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Grand Slam Smile | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prancingthruparis | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Om N Joy | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Take Another Card | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mars Magic | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sunset Grazen | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quick Kate | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | O K Rose | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Carl Erskine | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Trojan Mafia | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Star of Delhi | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stage Run | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Son of Oneeyedmama | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Man Joe Roldan | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fire Chief | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Akin | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Crystal Water S.) – Crystal Water S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | On the Whim | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flyover | 1.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prince Dolce | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Call Me Sir | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Santa Barbarian | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Curlin’s Kaos | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stamp My Passport | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Canani | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Cali Cat | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Melair S.) – Melair S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Run With Liberty | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mohaven | 0.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Good Golly Dolly | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lino’s Angel | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Troisieme Etoile | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cecilia Street | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Holdthatrainbow | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Snow Chief S. Presented By City National Bank) – Snow Chief S. Presented By City National Bank
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Unrivaled Time | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Third Beer | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fionello | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | He’s a Knockout | 1.20 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ventry Strand | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trump Era | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | John Metcalfe | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Scatalotadingdong | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wave With Envy | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smoovin Saturday | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | King’s Ride | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Gypsy Cowboy | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sir Percival | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Palisades | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cowboy Mike | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Start the Ride | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | J T’s Watch | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spiritual Advisor | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Known Idea | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Hungover | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Flash of Lightning | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Sniper | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Throwthefirstpunch | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tight Dally | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Doing Time | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Oracle of Paradise | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Farmer Tom | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Off the Bench | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Practical Blame | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Big Vengeance | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Robin Olds | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Gaines | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Booked Clubhouse | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.