Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Timbertop | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Liam’s Law | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tyson’s Gamble | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fire Marshal | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ashcroft Lane | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Greek Knight | 6.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jolley | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shining Moment | 99.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Aristide Maillol | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Boom Shocka Boom | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Solo Jim | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Keep ‘Em Honest | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sanford Route | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Always Honest | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Portadown Lad | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Pocket Queens | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Calling an Audible | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moon Gate | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Danneel | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shezanarcticqueen | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spirit of Esther | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Santagata | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dolce Sera | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Highway Harmony | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Majestic Return | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lil’ Regard | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fast and Frisky | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just Add Water | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Linarite | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nina Kay | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jackson’s Dixie | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Princess Becca | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Howling Wind | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Short Shift | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Kay Road | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Jackie | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Defining Role | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hanna’s Hideaway | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kef | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Daughters’ Gift | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Devine One | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Covert Affair | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Scarlet’s Dream | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Timia | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Our Preferred Pal | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Wisdom | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | A. P. Slingshot | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Icy Legs | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Katie King | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Sarir | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brokealltherules | 3.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Roagna | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Starlight Dancer | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Amelia’s Echo | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Summer | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Luckforyou | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Karey | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bossy Dish | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Heavens Lee | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tahila | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Y’allreadyforthis | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Vibrant Express | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Final Verdict | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mentee | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Antisocial | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Commuted | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Light Man | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Straight Arrow | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Apollo Ten | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | War Stride | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mischievous M | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | What’s Up Bro | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Military Road | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Secured Landing | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ambition | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gunner Bay | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Empire | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sara’s Shaman | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | First Trumpet | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smilensaycheese | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sanzio | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.