Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Timbertop | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tyson’s Gamble | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Liam’s Law | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ashcroft Lane | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jolley | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Greek Knight | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fire Marshal | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Shining Moment | 99.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Always Honest | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Solo Jim | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Portadown Lad | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boom Shocka Boom | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sanford Route | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Keep ‘Em Honest | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aristide Maillol | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Pocket Queens | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Calling an Audible | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spirit of Esther | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Danneel | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dolce Sera | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Santagata | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shezanarcticqueen | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moon Gate | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Majestic Return | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lil’ Regard | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nina Kay | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jackson’s Dixie | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Short Shift | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Howling Wind | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Linarite | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Highway Harmony | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Fast and Frisky | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Princess Becca | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Just Add Water | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Big Jackie | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kay Road | 1.20 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Daughters’ Gift | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hanna’s Hideaway | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Devine One | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Defining Role | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Covert Affair | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Kef | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Scarlet’s Dream | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Timia | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Our Preferred Pal | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Wisdom | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Katie King | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | A. P. Slingshot | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Icy Legs | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Sarir | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Karey | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Amelia’s Echo | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Luckforyou | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Y’allreadyforthis | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Roagna | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Starlight Dancer | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Princess Summer | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Heavens Lee | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Brokealltherules | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Bossy Dish | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tahila | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Vibrant Express | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mischievous M | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Light Man | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | What’s Up Bro | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Commuted | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | War Stride | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Straight Arrow | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Final Verdict | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Apollo Ten | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Antisocial | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mentee | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sara’s Shaman | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ambition | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Secured Landing | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | First Trumpet | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Empire | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smilensaycheese | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sanzio | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gunner Bay | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Military Road | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.