Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hot Gamer | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweetbitters | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Total Fabrication | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Warm Up the Bus | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gladly | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Berlinwin | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dodecahedron | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Motown Sound | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lil Braveheart | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Systemic Change | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big City | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Real Macho | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Classic Legacy | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Notary | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Curlin’s Gesture | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Evening News | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Can’t Deny It | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Let My People Go | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Antares | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nasty Habit | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boltage | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gardiner | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | B D Valeski | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mister Mmmmm | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chiseler | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alder | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Saint in the City | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Asheville | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Quarry | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flick | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Diamond Eyed Jack | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rugged Love | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Neigh Baby | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dixie Devil | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Hund | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | He Has Game | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Nyquistador | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Private Show | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Don’s Last Ride | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Surfin’ M | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Circuit Breaker | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lasting Legacy | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tregetour | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Globalist | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pay Heed | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stoic Sage | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Munnings Talks | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Immortalize | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Eat Hay Run | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Core Memories | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Hypnotica | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dyna | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pretty Tapit | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Last Curtain Call | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Mundy Sweep | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eenymeanymightymo | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Zero Absolute | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wonzee Weather | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Marcinkowski | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Patron Silver | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Les | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Blackwing | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ruleroftheuniverse | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rowdy Riot | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bird the Legend | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Muir Woods | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Linebacker | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flyin Private | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Election Night | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Frosted Bull | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nineteenfourtyfive | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Coal Fired | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Being Myself | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Anna’s Promise | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Union Mist | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Foreseen | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sierra November | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amarth | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Telescopic | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ashley’s Archer | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Write Off Jerry | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | My Boy Tony | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | King of Ashes | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lazlo | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Steel | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kicking Clear | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Different Gravy | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Warlander | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fort Thomas | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Theodore George | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Taunting | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Solaia | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smokin Hot Stuff | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Diagram | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | With Kindness | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sweettalkingwoman | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spill the Sugar | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Balaclava | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Loriebeth | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Donna Strada | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Army Chic | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silvertown | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Long Embrace | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Gucci Gammy | 50.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.