Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Total Fabrication | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gladly | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Gamer | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Berlinwin | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweetbitters | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lil Braveheart | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dodecahedron | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Motown Sound | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Warm Up the Bus | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Systemic Change | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big City | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Classic Legacy | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Real Macho | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Notary | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Evening News | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Curlin’s Gesture | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Nasty Habit | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gardiner | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alder | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Saint in the City | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chiseler | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mister Mmmmm | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | B D Valeski | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Let My People Go | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Antares | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Boltage | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Can’t Deny It | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | The Hund | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Diamond Eyed Jack | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Quarry | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flick | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rugged Love | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Neigh Baby | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dixie Devil | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Asheville | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | He Has Game | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Nyquistador | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Private Show | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Circuit Breaker | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Don’s Last Ride | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Surfin’ M | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pay Heed | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lasting Legacy | 10.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stoic Sage | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tregetour | 12.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Globalist | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Munnings Talks | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Core Memories | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Immortalize | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pretty Tapit | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Patron Silver | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Last Curtain Call | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Marcinkowski | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wonzee Weather | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Zero Absolute | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eenymeanymightymo | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Eat Hay Run | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Hypnotica | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Dyna | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Blackwing | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Les | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Mundy Sweep | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rowdy Riot | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Linebacker | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Muir Woods | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flyin Private | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bird the Legend | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nineteenfourtyfive | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Coal Fired | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frosted Bull | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ruleroftheuniverse | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Election Night | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Being Myself | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Union Mist | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Anna’s Promise | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Foreseen | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amarth | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sierra November | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lazlo | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | My Boy Tony | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Telescopic | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ashley’s Archer | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Warlander | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Write Off Jerry | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kicking Clear | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | King of Ashes | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Steel | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fort Thomas | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Theodore George | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Taunting | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Different Gravy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Solaia | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smokin Hot Stuff | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Diagram | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Donna Strada | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | With Kindness | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sweettalkingwoman | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Balaclava | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Long Embrace | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spill the Sugar | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Army Chic | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Loriebeth | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Gucci Gammy | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Silvertown | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.