Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Louis the Champ | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Conn Smythe (GB) | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sol de Verano | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | You’re So Lucky | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blondina’s Boy | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miah Said | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Zip to Zap | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Lew | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Idealsanddreams | 4.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Switchin’ to Glide | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Halcon Negro | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | We Come in Peace | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hard Reload | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Common Canter | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | El Alacran | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Highland Life | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lazio | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Endrick | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fifty B M G | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bennys Jets | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Quinns Silent Roar | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Got a Complex | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Arya’s Quest | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Izzy | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Totally in Charge | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pretty Liza | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wunhappy Wabbit | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Imyourmedicineman | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Don Ique | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Decadent Danish | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Somekinda Mischief | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paradise Perfect | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Allbetsareoff | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Noburu | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Keynote Speaker | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Auntie’s Bambino | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maker’s Flatter | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Who Goes There | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Society’s Storm | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz the Power | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Proudly Canadian | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bright Angel (IRE) | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Willful Warrior | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lover Boy Mo | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Niigon’s Law | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fin Del Mundo | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Coburg | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kamasi | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wonderful Quality | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hemlo Gold | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | One More Brew | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | This Dude a Breeze | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | El Cohete | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bachelor Pad | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Uncaptured Moment | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Posturing | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ciunas | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Paynes Spirit | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gone With Duwyn | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Next Pitch | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Countryboysurvive | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bankingonamiracle | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rapid Grey | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chambers | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | El Capo | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Will Win | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Buium | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wembley Avenue | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Apeldoorn | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lake Nasser | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mystic Path | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Very Special | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Jolted | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Proud Painter | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hard Right | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Battle Warning | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.