Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Dontworryboutnothn | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Captain Gabe | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ghost Protocol | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sinatra | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mouqeer | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Krewezin | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Join | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rapid Ascent | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Lucky Penny | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Telecaster | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kenwood Street | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon Town | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hey Tuff Guy | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Time for Action | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gun for Glory | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gamerboy | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bistineau Blizzard | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cross Power | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fortune King | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Worry Be Gone | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Snipsnippitysnip | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Plaza Athenee (GB) | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ensorcell | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Oraia | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Malibu Smart | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mint Driven | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | What’s Her Number | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ducat | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Authentic Angel | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | California Smoke | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mamarsha | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dancewhenyoucan | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ride the Broom | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | I’m a Cookie Lover | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pauline’s Angel | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Theoretically | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Storm the Streets | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Just a Fair Shake | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Arthur’s Court | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Yellow Brick | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Guns and Glory | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Izzy d’Oro | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Higginsville | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magic Grant | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Protective | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wish Carefully | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rational Theory | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Our Shenanigan | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shanett | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spun Candy | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Transatlantic | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bourbon Serengeti | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Good Call | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Madeline’s Promise | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Daring Hope | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tamino | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wearebackyoungman | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clocker Special | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | McIlroy | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Lucius Verus | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lil Muggs | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Good Mojo | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tripp’s Promise | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Speedstorm | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Army Wildcatter | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Pop Paul | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Longstrider | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Southern Bullet | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gray Is Okay | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Winning Colors S.) – Winning Colors S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Usha | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kapoor | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Foie Gras | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One Magic Philly | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zeitlos | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jersey Pearl | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spring Dancer | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dare to Fly | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Zihnal | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lahainaluna | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Vivaldi | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Your Wildest Dream | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Provider | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 13 | 13 | War and Majesty | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wrathchild | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Maximus Prime | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Moon Channel | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | About Face | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Drop Shot | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Deerfield | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Siyouincanada (FR) | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Timayyyy | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Power of Will | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wild Cat Curlin | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.