Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Associated | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coach Bennett | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Mamba | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Buff Gary | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Military Hero | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Backside | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tedison | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gus’ Ten | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | King of Salsa | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wholelotoftrouble | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Speedy Hans | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roan Burgundy | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | It’s Game Time | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rerally | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Youbetterbejoking | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alilnalot | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lorden’s Pride | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gunman Jayvo | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Capo | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Matzoball Muhammet | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Little Sneckdraw | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quetzal Island | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gruene Hall | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Amelie | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mia Counting | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Irie and Mellow | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fasterthanutootoot | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hart of Coupella | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Golden Chakra | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Edge of the Blade | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rosie Warrior | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mariah’s Big Girl | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Instant Vision | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moon Fleet | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | True Connection | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Warrior Wayne | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lookin Wild | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Earl of Dassel | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Real Conviction | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kevin’s Strike | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Lion | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Kid Syd | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sheer Dominance | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | River’s Gamble | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | All American Rod | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brave Blend | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whiskeyromeosierra | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Simply Disregarded | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Authentic Kingdom | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Starlord | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lasso | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Neigh Dude | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mac Daddy Too | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | A Votre Sante | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grahmalamadingdong | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Soar Richard | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Parlay for Destiny | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smooth Motion | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Exclusive Dancer | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Coalville | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Carry Grant | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Desert Aire | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Liberty Runner | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Evasive Moves | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dr. Lou | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.