Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | True Passion | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Briland | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tetiaroa | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Outrageously | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz in Sight | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Going Steady | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mazoku | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tap to Open | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ati Girl | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magic Woman | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Law | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alesiamae | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Episist | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twinklee | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Perrylu | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Charted Destiny | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Abbi Fede | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mount Horeb | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sketch (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alston | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rocky Joy | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sicilian Defense | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rapoport | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gordon’s Legacy | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Survivin’onaprayer | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Gewurztraminer | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bearings | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Glen Airy | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aristotle | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | King Russell | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vamos Carlitos | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dance Some Mo | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | B Sudd | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ace Jack Deuce | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Wingfoot | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mandy’s Man Can | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Torre Eiffel | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Royal Sapphire | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hellacious | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Jem’s Hershey Kiss | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Major Mack | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Roktar | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nyttime Story | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dark Rye | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Activity | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Power Aura | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Culprit | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cant Stop Munnings | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Footprint | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Landing Craft | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Petoskey Stones | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Another Monarch | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tingus Pingus | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Epic Summer | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Na Pali Joe | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Comes a Time | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | So Special | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gray Is Okay | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Leonardo | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Itzel | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cloe | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fancy Caber Neigh | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Satin Blue | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Justinqueso | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | She’z the Law | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | High Fashion Kate | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Junta | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tempting Eve | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stormy Paradise | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Munnings Challenge | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Small Town | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Doublecents | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gun Range | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | American Man | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rockies Balboa | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hammond | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vaporizer | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sav’n Money | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Raconteuse | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Daring Madison | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Debby’s Gal | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sudden Squall | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Haywinii | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ribadeo | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tramuntana | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 15 | 15 | English Harbour | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Howyoudosomething | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Modern Escape | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Lady Faye | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Market Strategy | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Mother Lode | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky to Dance | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Speightsy Rival | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Rotisserie | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.