Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Back Wall Bandit | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Julia’s a Fox | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whatsyourbigidea | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Blonde Samaritan | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Music On the Rocks | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Avril | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Pap’s Lil Patriot | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Endless Vow | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Risk and Regret | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Chickin Lickin | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Diamond Sue | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tea Rose | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Margaret P | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Valerie Street | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fire At Midnight | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rehoboth Avenue | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Witty | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Saxton | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Where’s Ray | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Incinerator | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nothing Better | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Whenigettoheaven | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Gold Trust | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Win No Joke | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red Spitfire | 1.20 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | World On Fire | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ellinger | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | English Daddy | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sticktothesystem | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mose Smokin | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Neon Bordeaux | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Straight to Water | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Jackal | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Drilling for Gold | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Salted Carmel | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Joe the Jet | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Hanksdiviningrod | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Lordship | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Grey Biggsy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Go Grey | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Dairago (FR) | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lendalfoot | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Firestreak | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cross of Valor | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Verdant Tones | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hopperetta | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spinning Class | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Seger Songs | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Paynted by Nancy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Band On the Run | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Light de Night | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Holy Synchronicity | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Wait Up | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dewy’s Beast | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Talented Man | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jolly by Golly | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Karan’s Notion | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Crab Daddy | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Slam Notion | 1.20 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bold Diversion | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Goodbye Note | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Howgreatisnate | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Twelve Treasures | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Go Joe Won | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Khozeiress | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Worcester | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 11 | Isaiah Fiftythree | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Regency Tale | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ballinaclash | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Long Straw | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | He’s All Heart | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 8 | Chimney Sweep | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Red Sea | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Modranach | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 7 | Rare Eclipse | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Stark County | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 6 | M D Fieldstone | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.