Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Decapo | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scene by Me | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Steak Fries | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grey’s Boy | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bee Eye Gee | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Got’m Cot’m | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Do It for Dave | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Harbor Code | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Morello | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sunset Storm | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Levon | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Upstart Yankee | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Northern Quest | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wicklow Hills | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Danzing Flyer | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Redheaded Reba | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tequilaandtherapy | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stay in Line | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Timekeeper’s Charm | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smile Baby Smile | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Baby Needs Shoes | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Turkey Bird | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Hellfire | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dancing With Shari | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vegas Nightclub | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grape Juice Too | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Anya | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Breanna | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Susan Yvonne | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Jimmy Blue Jeans | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pioneer Prince | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Caisson | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hacking It Up | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kawazaki (IRE) | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One of These Days (IRE) | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ah Jeez | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Swear Dave | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coolwind | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lovely Medaglia | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tate Batz | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cloudy Rose | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Union Heiress | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bobs Honey | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Lady | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Love Lock | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Winsome Love | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Om Time Gal | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hazaka (FR) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Path To Power (GB) | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tribalism (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Post Game | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gaines | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Divisible By | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Plagarist | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bogarts Bucchero | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Born to Rock | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Santa Margarita S.) – Santa Margarita S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Seismic Beauty | 0.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Simply Joking | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Om N Joy | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lavender Love | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lemon Muffin | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dream From Within | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pentle Bay | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Soul Sister | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Slice | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Conquistadora | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Silkie Sevei (IRE) | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Akkadevi | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ethereal Quality | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tipitap | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jasmine | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Hot Day Girl | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Dats Ms. Blame | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.