Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Decapo | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bee Eye Gee | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Steak Fries | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Got’m Cot’m | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Scene by Me | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Harbor Code | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Do It for Dave | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Grey’s Boy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Northern Quest | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sunset Storm | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Levon | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Upstart Yankee | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wicklow Hills | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Morello | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tequilaandtherapy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Redheaded Reba | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stay in Line | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Danzing Flyer | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Timekeeper’s Charm | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smile Baby Smile | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Turkey Bird | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Baby Needs Shoes | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Hellfire | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dancing With Shari | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grape Juice Too | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Susan Yvonne | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Anya | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Breanna | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vegas Nightclub | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ah Jeez | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kawazaki (IRE) | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hacking It Up | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Caisson | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One of These Days (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Swear Dave | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jimmy Blue Jeans | 3.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coolwind | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pioneer Prince | 4.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bobs Honey | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lovely Medaglia | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Union Heiress | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tate Batz | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cloudy Rose | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Love Lock | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Om Time Gal | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Lady | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Winsome Love | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Tribalism (IRE) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hazaka (FR) | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Divisible By | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Path To Power (GB) | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Plagarist | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Post Game | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gaines | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Born to Rock | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bogarts Bucchero | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Santa Margarita S.) – Santa Margarita S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Seismic Beauty | 0.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lavender Love | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Simply Joking | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Om N Joy | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lemon Muffin | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Pentle Bay | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Soul Sister | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dream From Within | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Slice | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Silkie Sevei (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ethereal Quality | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Conquistadora | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Akkadevi | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jasmine | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tipitap | 30.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Hot Day Girl | 30.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Dats Ms. Blame | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.