Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shadow Coast | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moroder | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | League of Legends | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aerate | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gallo de Fuego | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Homie | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Galatina | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quinn’s Promise | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Be Salty | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Belle Ofthe Dance | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fermi | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fresh Out | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | State Charmer | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Il Cavallino | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Joker | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whiskey Shot | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stefan’s Title | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hardtoblame | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bagg O Time | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Romantic Lead | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bebedouro | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Top Gun Tommy | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Raising Kane | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Upturned Brim | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lord Majesty | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Illini | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sawyer Fox | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forty Love | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Admiral Hall | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baytown Bruiser | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Truly Legit | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | You Ain’t Poppn | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Versed | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Guardian | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Vino Dominus | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carson | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tims | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mountain Grandeur | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Whatever | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Paired | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Chasing Gray | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Punkin Boy | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Nelson | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spring St. Dreamer | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tlahuicole | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Turn and Run | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Secret Hideaway (IRE) | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sapphire Beach (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beach Heist | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mony Mony | 4.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Omaha Bay | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Snow Face Princess | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Snappy Comeback | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Should’ve | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Civic Charm | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Interrogator | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hawkeye State | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | McCann | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Impractical | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Campobasso | 4.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Study | 5.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gadget Play | 8.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Delancey Street | 12.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Max Is Him | 15.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bigtimetimmyjim | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Native Brew | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Prize Pick | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Forty Two | 20.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rebel Instinct | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Memory | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Noble Affair | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lighter | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | I Did I Did | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Biloba | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Western Warrior | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Envision | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Gun Range | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Volendam | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | J J Grey | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Culture War | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Happy Prince | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Both Sides of Bad | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fly Guy Mick | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Timestream | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Barracks | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Champagne Liberal | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | West of East Texas | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thespian | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Power of Will | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hill Country | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | McKinsense | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.