Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shadow Nation (IRE) | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tuddy | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nylie | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Repo | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Simple Majority | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Moe Show | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Just Deal | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Next Trick | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Macho Man | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Meeking | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fincairn | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | He’s a Gangster | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Motet | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Angelica Bay (IRE) | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Newport Dreamz | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady of Power | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sparkle Sweetly | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lying Zero | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jolene Fury | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lipstick Lies | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Stay My Girl | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Icecream Ontheside | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Estrella Esmeral | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s My Star | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ride Like the Wolf | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | French Moonlight | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fibonaccis Ride | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jennys Wine Girl | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vicky Lyn | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quantum Innergy | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hello Kid O Kid O | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Apple Pie | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Maddog | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dainey | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moona Lisa | 1.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Saucier | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Harmonique | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sugar Lovin | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Miso Phansy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mperfection | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wild West Coast | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pavel’s Etoile | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | We the Hobby | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Suntory Time | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Petite Treat | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Triple Bend S.) – Triple Bend S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Stronghold | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Simple Song | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bartholdy | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Last Straw | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Goat (CHI) | 1.80 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mr American Pie | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Maximon | 1.20 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | H Q Wilson | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sigma Boy | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Running Spartan | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Box of Light | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Missile Cruiser | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hoosick Falls | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | War Artist | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gandalf | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.